It's September, and here in the northern hemisphere, at least, the heat has moderated and it's nice and cool for running in the mornings. How is your running going?
There are lots of formulas, and you can find nifty web predictors at http://runworks.com (which also includes a temperature compensator) and http://www.mcmillanrunning.com/calculator, as well as (my favorite) a downloadable Excel spreadsheet from http://mymarathonpace.com. The idea is that they calculate equivalent race performances, which can be used as predictors IF you are equally well trained for the races at different distances. The problem, of course, is that a lot of people train well for a half marathon but their mileage isn't really good enough for a marathon, but they assume they can hit the projected time, and have a miserable last 8 or so miles.
Your 5K projects to about a 1:04 10K, but you have lots of time to train, and you're right in that the cooler weather should lead to a faster time.
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Your 5K projects to about a 1:04 10K, but you have lots of time to train, and you're right in that the cooler weather should lead to a faster time.
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